POLL: NC Marriage Amendment has strong lead in final week


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Submitted: Thu, 05/03/2012 - 8:52pm
Updated: Thu, 05/03/2012 - 8:54pm
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RALEIGH, NC (NEWS RELEASE FROM THE CIVITAS INSTITUTE) — Marriage Amendment proponents appear to be ahead in North Carolina, according to polling done by the Civitas Institute on April 30 to May 2.

Support for the proposed amendment to the state constitution that would give the current definition of marriage additional legal protection remains strong as One-Stop Absentee Voting enters its final days. Applying survey results to current voter turnout trends and anticipated election day voting would project the amendment winning by no less than a 16 percentage-point margin.

A survey of partisan primary voters shows the amendment winning among Democrats by a slim 48-to-44 percent margin and among Republicans by a 78-to-15 percent margin. The largest supporters of the amendment among Democratic voters are black voters (38 percent of the sample), who support the amendment by a 2-to-1 margin — 63 to 30 percent. Self-identified conservative Democrats (23 percent of the sample) support the amendment by an 82-to-13 percent margin.

Among Republican primary voters, the weakest support for the amendment was found with self-identified liberal/moderate Republicans (21 percent of the sample), who supported the amendment by a 49-to-46 percent margin.

“While there is still time for a strong advertising or grassroots effort to change the outcome, it appears supporters of the amendment have the momentum,” said Civitas President Francis De Luca. “However, as I have said before, this amendment is about deeply felt convictions affecting some of our most important civic institutions, faith and family. I believe we have not heard the last word on this issue.”

The Civitas Poll is the only regular live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina. For more information on Civitas polling, see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.

Full text of questions:

Do you support or oppose a constitutional amendment that says: “Marriage between one man and one woman is the only domestic legal union that shall be valid or recognized in this State?”

DEMOCRATIC/UNAFILLIATED VOTERS IN DEM PRIMARY

48% Total Support

44% Total Oppose

41% Strongly Support

7% Somewhat Support

6% Somewhat Oppose

38% Strongly Oppose

7% Don’t Know/ No Opinion (DO NOT READ)

1% Refused (DO NOT READ)

REPUBLICAN/UNAFILLIATED VOTERS IN REP PRIMARY

78% Total Support

15% Total Oppose

72% Strongly Support

7% Somewhat Support

3% Somewhat Oppose

12% Strongly Oppose

6% Don’t Know/ No Opinion (DO NOT READ)

— Refused (DO NOT READ)

These two polls were each of 400 registered voters who were likely primary voters in their respective primaries in North Carolina and was conducted between April 30 and May 2, 2012 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of registered 2012 primary election voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in at least one of the past two primary elections (2008, 2010) or be newly registered to vote since May 1, 2010.

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 400 interviews (registered voters) will be within +- 4.9% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in at least one of the past two primary elections or is newly registered to vote since May 1, 2010.

More information on the Civitas Institute is available at www.nccivitas.org.

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44 Comments on "POLL: NC Marriage Amendment has strong lead in final week"


Guest Against Bigots!
2015 years 8 months ago

Thanks for the laughs folks:
Scenario’s 1 thru 3:
1. Man to wife: “Honey, please meet the doctor here that did my heart transplant surgery and saved my LIFE”!. (Later that evening, the wife tells her husband) “Dear, I know that doctor’s nurse, and she told me he is Gay”. (Husband to wife) “I want my old heart BACK!!!!!”
2. Car goes off the road into a lake, the drowning passenger can’t get out. A Gay couple see’s this, comes to help, the victim knows them and that they are Gay and says, “Oh No, Let Me Drown!!!!”
3. Married couple in extreme financial need, goes to the bank for a loan. The loan officer gets their loan approved and they are extremely happy and thankful (until they see a photo on the loan officers desk, of he/she hugging another loved one of the same sex.
Guess the married couple applying for the loan, tore up the loan papers, huh?

(Did these 3 examples sound ridiculous to you? Good, that’s 1 step in the right direction, but they sound like things some of you folks project yourself to believe in.)

Some of you folks here, making some of the comments you make against people’s choice of companionship & love for others, claiming to be God Fearing Christians, are as much in favor of “Love Thy Neighbor” as a one celled amoeba, if even that!
You live in your self centered world, mad about what a complete stranger desires in life, simply because it doesn’t match your own, and how many believe the same as you do? Pat yourselves on the back, you obviously do have a following!
You always see comments from people, on issues such as this, in a very hypocritical manner, not even realizing the whole world that turns around you, turns on and on regardless of those that hide behind a book of saying’s that are mythological, and stemmed from someone’s POV thousands of years ago.
Enjoy living in your shell, but don’t try and turn other people’s lives into your way of thinking. If you don’t, the world will be a much better place to live in. In other words, mind your own business.
One more thing, for those of you that preach religion to friends, neighbors, or on Forums, and then pass on curse words on a daily basis in excited conversations, (and that goes on in staggering amounts) think about how ridiculous that sounds to mix the both together. But I guess as long as preaching your religious beliefs Ok’s it, in your mind, it’s your cross to bare to others.
Now those of you wanting to unleash your thoughts defending your hypocritical views here (which a lot obviously are), it’s your choice and your right. But think about the 3 scenario’s I wrote in the beginning of my comments here, and then read them again, and again, and again.
I believe that a person’s love for another is their business, and not John Q. Public’s!
You Holy Rollers had your shot at comments, I just had mine.
You will get the message, I hope!

2015 years 8 months ago

Well what can be said in this regard :?

CharlotteNC
2015 years 8 months ago

I think homosexuals should have to be married to be together. They should be miserable as the rest of us! J/k

On a serious note, WHO CARES?! It doesn’t affect me nor does it affect anyone who is not gay. There are too many useless, needless and victimless laws. I voted against the measure!

gordon hobbs
2015 years 8 months ago

ADAM AND EVE…….NOT ADAM AND STEVE!!!!!

Guest2020
2015 years 8 months ago

You are the one who is ignorant. Homosexuality is immoral. Being black is not immoral. Everyone has the right to vote according to his conscience and if his conscience tells him not to condone immoral behavior then he has the right to vote accordingly.