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VOTE 2010: Civitas Poll: Republicans lead in generic North Carolina legislative ballot

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Raleigh, NC (NEWS RELEASE) – A new poll released this week by the Civitas Institute reveals that Republican candidates are currently leading Democrats by 11 percent on the state legislative generic ballot, the largest lead in the history of Civitas polling.

According to the poll of 600 likely voters, when asked if they would vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate if the election for State Legislature were held today, 44 percent said they would vote for the Republican. Thirty-three percent of voters said they would vote for the Democratic candidate, and six percent said neither. Fifteen percent of voters said they do not know.

This represents a five percentage point increase (39 percent to 44 percent) in support for Republican candidates since a July 2010 Civitas poll. Democratic candidates saw a six percent decrease in support (39 percent to 33 percent).

“The political tide flowing towards Republicans seems to be picking up steam as we head into prime election season,” said Civitas Institute Senior Legislative Analyst Chris Hayes. “Meanwhile, Democratic enthusiasm has greatly waned since the 2008 election, prompting the question of whether or not the party can get their voters to the polls in November.”

Additionally, unaffiliated voters, the fastest growing voter segment in the state, are heavily backing Republican candidates by a 49 percent-14 percent margin.

“Unaffiliated voters, who resembled Democrats two years ago, are now abandoning the party in large numbers,” added Hayes. “With unaffiliated support for Democrats in the low teens, it could result in many more competitive races in legislative seats that were thought to be Democratic safeholds.”

The Civitas Poll is the only monthly live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina. For more information on Civitas polling see www.nccivitas.org/media/poll-results/.

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