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Submitted by Tim Buckley on Wed, 11/17/2010 - 10:20am.
Don't worry, the sun's back out and it's here to stay -- again! Our brief one-day encounter with 'real weather' has now passed, and we're going to begin yet another extended stretch of tranquility across the Carolinas. Why, exactly? Well the main reason is that good ole high pressure is back in control.
We're seeing the front that pushed through yesterday move quickly offshore today with a High building in behind it. This will set the stage for our sunshine today, with large scale sinking air squashing out any development of clouds or showers in the atmosphere. From here the high will move only slightly over the next few days, but an area of low pressure will approach from the west.
As this Low moves East it will battle the High already in place across the region. As is usually the case, High pressure will win out - and all but eliminate this low from the weather picture. Instead of a cold front with some showers and storms associated with it, we'll only see a few clouds around Thursday afternoon across the area with some cooler air filtering in for Friday.
Believe it or not, that's about as active as our weather will get for the entire forecast period. Call us lucky, but you could also just call it November. As it shakes out, this agreeable weather isn't that out of the ordinary for Fall.
The 11th month of the year tends to be a fairly quiet one here in Wilmington. On average, the Port City sees just over three inches (3.26") of rain each November - just behind the months of October and April which are the driest throughout the year. We luck out for a number of reasons.
First off, Hurricane Season tends to be winding down in the Atlantic and very few tropical systems wait until November to make an appearance along our coast soaking us with rain. Don't get me wrong - it can, and has, happened.. but it's a rarity for sure.
Secondly, the Jet Stream tends to still be relatively far north of the area, carrying the active storms along for the ride. We're actually seeing this set up for next week with strong ridging along the East Coast. Looking at the forecast map above for next week, the oranges yellows and reds represent the fast winds in the upper level that make up the Jet Stream. Frequently in November this river of fast moving air is generally a bit too far north for the storms to travel over the Carolinas. By the time Winter rolls around though, that can change in a hurry.
So that's our reality this November of 2010. We wrap up an 11 day stretch of full sunshine with one measly day of unsettled weather. Thenafter the storm leaves, it's back to the sunshine and we gear up for another fair weather stretch well into Thanksgiving week. I guess we'll find out if there's such thing as "too much of a good thing"!
Enjoy the sunshine while it lasts. Mother Nature tends to have her way of evening things out - so that may spell some trouble down the road for us.
That's all for now. Thanks for reading.
By: Tim Buckley