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VOTE 2010: Poll - Registered voters in NC remain divided over presidential and congressional candidates

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HIGH POINT, NC (NEWS RELEASE) -- A new High Point University Poll finds that there has been little change in North Carolinians’ opinions of President Barack Obama and his GOP opponents throughout the last few months as support for both parties remains almost equally divided. Democratic and Republican candidates for Congress also receive almost equal support. The president’s job approval rating still hovers in the low 40s, while GOP candidates are still in a tight race amongst themselves with Mitt Romney receiving slightly more support.

Presidential race questions – Registered Voters

If the election for President of the United States were held today, would you be voting for Barack Obama or his Republican opponent?

Republican opponent – 47 percent

Barack Obama – 42 percent

(Undecided/don’t know/refused) – 11 percent

(For registered voters, n = 435, margin of sampling error is approximately 5 percent)

Congressional generic ballot questions – Registered Voters

If the elections for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your congressional district – the Democratic Party’s candidate or the Republican Party’s candidate?

Democratic candidate – 42 percent

Republican candidate – 40 percent

(Don’t know/refused) – 17 percent

(For registered voters, n = 435, margin of sampling error is approximately 5 percent)

Presidential Job approval:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Approve – 44 percent

Disapprove – 49 percent

(Don’t know/refuse) – 8 percent

(For all adults, n = 507, margin of sampling error is approximately 4.4 percent)

“We often expect some rapid changes during an election year. But we asked the same questions two months ago and got almost exactly the same responses. President Obama faces a challenging race here in North Carolina, and the split in the congressional vote indicates that this is a divided state,” said HPU Poll director Martin Kifer. “We are waiting to see significant movement one way or the other that will signal a growing advantage for the Republicans or Democrats in these closely watched elections.”

The February HPU Poll found President Obama receiving 42 percent of the presidential vote among registered voters against an unnamed opponent who received 47 percent as well as a congressional ballot on which the Democratic candidate received 42 percent of the vote among registered voters compared to 40 percent for the Republican. Among all adults in North Carolina, President Obama’s job approval rating was 44 percent with 47 percent disapproving.

Republican Primary for President – Registered Voters

If the Republican presidential primary were held today, would you vote for Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, or Rick Santorum (responses rotated)?

Mitt Romney – 31 percent

Rick Santorum – 25 percent

Ron Paul – 15 percent

Newt Gingrich – 12 percent

(Undecided/don’t know/refused) – 18 percent

(Asked of registered voters who identify with the Republican Party or are independent/unaffiliated, excluding respondents who said they would not vote in the Republican Primary on May 8th, n = 239, margin of sampling error is approximately 6.4 percent)

The High Point University Survey Research Center fielded the survey from March 19-22 and March 24-29. The responses came from 507 adults with landline and cellular telephones in North Carolina selected by a Random Digit Dial (RDD) method giving the survey a margin of sampling error of approximately 4.4 percentage points. For smaller subsamples the margin of sampling error is larger. In addition to sampling error, factors such as question wording and other methodological choices in conducting survey research can introduce additional error into the findings of opinion polls.

Further results and methodological details from the survey and can be found at the Survey Research Center website, http://src.highpoint.edu/,

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