Um, Pantano lost that race against McIntyre by 7.5 points. It was a strong showing but I wouldn't call it "Pantano came very close to beating McIntyre" as you wrote. The new district added a couple points to the R side, which is exactly where Rouzer gained mathematically. The only way he could have done better to win was for previous McIntyre voter to switch to Rouzer. Hard to do with 7 previous elections of voting for him.
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