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Submitted by George Elliott on Sat, 03/09/2013 - 8:11am.
March, April, May. These are the spring months as considered by the National Weather Service for forecast purposes, and has always been the standard by which they, as well as any others, base their spring outlook. So, in keeping with tradition and smooth organization, I too use these three full months for my seasonal outlook.
Anywho, look for an overall mild spring across much of the country outside of the far northwest portion of the country. As a matter of fact, I’d say temperatures will easily average above normal to occasionally much above normal over the South Central states, while anywhere from the Rockies east will at least be mild compared to the normal temperature patterns for the three month period.
Locally, we’ll likely see above normal temperatures for the spring as well. Once the warmer weather kicks in, I think it will be the defining pattern as we move through the season as average temperatures rise from the 60s in March through the 70’s in April and 80’s in May. Look for plenty of 70’s and some 80’s in April as well in my opinion. Overnight lows, while starting in the 30’s, will slowly rise through the 40’s, but begin to warm rapidly in May, reaching average lows of only the lower to middle 60’s during the night.
A dry spring is likely in California with the pattern developing, while a somewhat wet spring for a change is likely over the Great Lakes. It looks like there could even be at least average, but quite possibly a little above average rainfall over the Plains for a change, east into all the Midwest, and through the Ohio and Tennessee Valley’s, Mid Atlantic States, as well as the Northeast. Drier than average weather this spring is likely in the Pacific Northwest, the Southwest, and the Deep South through the southeastern states.
Locally, it will likely be a little drier than average. Of course, one or two heavy thunderstorm downbursts can really skew the official numbers, but the overall widespread rainfall pattern this spring is likely to show numbers that ultimately will be below average. Our average rainfall amounts are just about four inches in March, only around 2.8 inches in April, and then rising to 4.5 inches in May as more “convective” type thunderstorms become more common.
Enjoy the pleasures of a new season as temperatures warm, breezes blow, and new life comes to the earth.
By: George Elliott