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BUCKLEY'S BLOG: Severe weather threat across NC tonight

High heat and humidity are setting the stage for what could be an outbreak of damaging winds tonight across North Carolina. 

Temperatures will soar into the mid 90's this afternoon with high humidity. Heat and humidity are the fuel that allows thunderstorms to grow and intensify, which will set the stage for high thunderstorm potential this afternoon. 

A cold front digging south will collide with this heat, setting up a line of intense storms by late evening. These storms could be severe with damaging winds, and some hail.

Here are some maps showing our in house model (RPM) idea on when the storms will form and where they will go.

WWAY Model for Tonight @ 8pm
WWAY Model for Tonight @ 10pm

Main Threats:

This type of severe weather outbreak will have very specific threats. It is not a tornado outbreak, and not a pop-up severe thunderstorm outbreak. Instead, storms will likely form in a line that heads its way into North Carolina all at once. 

  • Damaging wind threat is significant. Winds of over 60 mph will be the main threat with these storms. At times, storms like these have had a history of producing widespread straight-line wind damage that can cause extended power outages. [That threat is higher as you head farther north toward VA]
  • Hail threat is relatively minor.
  • Tornado threat is very low. 
  • Flooding threat is low. Even with recent rains, these storms will be very fast moving and shouldn't cause widespread flooding.
Threat levels for the storms tonight.

Make sure to stay informed as we head into tonight. Have a way to receive warnings, and keep it with WWAY for updates! The weather gets great on Friday and we have a beautiful Fathers Day weekend. 

- Meteorologist Tim Buckley

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By: Tim Buckley

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