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Logic of Weather Prediction in our Region is flawed by nature!

December, 1989. Friday night before the holiday weekend with Christmas coming that Monday. On radio and tv they predicted Wilmington might get a few inches of snow. Saturday morning there was already that much and it did not let up. The mall was closed by lunch time and most business sent employees home if they were open on the weekend. Between 15 and 20 inches of snow fell from Friday night til Sunday early afternoon.

When I say weather prediction is flawed, I mean it. I have lived in the south, the north, near the beach, in the mountains. And I can honestly say we have the most unpredictable weather in Wilmington and the surrounding counties that I have ever seen.

If we get any snow or not on this storm warning still seems to be up to nature. We might get some, we may not. But closing the schools only makes sense in this region. We don't have all the safety items and measures in place for busses to travel in snow, sleet or on black ice.

Back to 1989 and the blizzard not seen in over 100 years in this area... the town was mostly shut down for 5 days or longer, depending on power outages and rural roads getting plowed. We had tons of road salt. The port was loaded with it. But the spreaders were in the mountains. It took weeks to fully get everything back on track here. And if you logically consider the low likelihood of this happening here... better to be safe than sorry. It is not like it is really a big deal to make up the day at the end of the school year. The northern regions do it all the time. Closing everything else seems a bit over the top but again, who here has snow tires or tire chains in their trunk? Perhaps a dozen in all of Wilmington!


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