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VOTE 2012: Civitas Poll - Romney leads Obama in NC

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RALEIGH, NC (NEWS RELEASE) -– A new Civitas Institute poll shows Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney leading Democratic incumbent Barack Obama by nine percent among North Carolina voters.

Romney is the choice of 48 percent of North Carolina voters if the election for President of the United States was being held today and the candidates were Mitt Romney the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat. Thirty-nine percent said they would vote for Obama, and 11 percent said they are undecided. Romney has the support of 80 percent of Republicans along with 55 percent of unaffiliated voters. Democratic voters would vote for Obama by a 65 percent to 22 percent margin.

“While the GOP primary campaign is still ongoing, Mitt Romney continues to register strong numbers against President Obama,” said Civitas Institute President Francis De Luca.

Romney's January numbers are very close to the 50-39 percent margin over Obama he registered in September 2011. Romney garners the most support in Charlotte and Western NC, while voters in the Piedmont and the Northeast are most likely to vote for Obama.

In the key unaffiliated voter demographic, Romney has a 28 percent margin, a slight increase from the 25 percent margin he had in September.

The Civitas Poll is the only regular live-caller poll of critical issues facing North Carolina. For more information on Civitas polling see http://www.nccivitas.org/category/poll/.

Full Text of Question:

“If the election for President of the United States was being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote if the candidates were: Mitt Romney the Republican, and Barack Obama the Democrat?”

Total Romney – 48%

Total Obama – 39%

Definitely Romney – 36%

Probably Romney – 8%

Lean Romney – 4%

Undecided – 11%

Lean Obama – 1%

Probably Obama – 3%

Definitely Obama – 35%

Refused – 2%

This poll of 300 likely 2012 general election voters in North Carolina was conducted January 9-11, 2012 by National Research, Inc. of Holmdel, NJ. All respondents were part of a fully representative sample of probable 2012 general election voters in North Carolina. For purposes of this study, voters interviewed had to have voted in 2006 or 2008 or be newly registered to vote since November 5, 2008. (November 5 is the day after the election)

The confidence interval associated with a sample of this size is such that: 95 percent of the time, results from 300 interviews (registered voters) will be within +-4% of the “True Values.” True Values refer to the results obtained if it were possible to interview every person in North Carolina who had voted in the 2006 or 2008 general elections or is newly registered since November 5, 2008.

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So Seceed Already - What's Stopping You?

It would be interesting to know the percentage of North Carolinians who would currently like to seceed from the union or own slaves. I'm sure they're pretty much all the same people who took the poll above.

Its too bad that we can't kick the Carolinas out because they've been dragging this country down since they lost the civil war. If you guys want to seceed now I doubt many people in the North would fight to keep you. Why not go for it?

Seceding

MasterObates: Leftists really hate it when the people go against their wishes. If you love the communism/socialism model of the Obama regime so much, why don't you just go straight to Europe, Venezuela, Russia, North Korea or China and live there? America is a place for free people.

Only 300 likely.voters

Only 300 likely.voters polled ?? I do not for one second believe that Romney will beat Obama in NC , and if he does it wouldn't be by 9 points . Also, where are the cross tabs ?

Art Pope: Fallacious Statistics

This poll has credibility problems. The article should have stated that
Civitas Poll is Art Pope's baby. It was bad enough when there were left and right leaning polls, but this is worst. But now the right is going to generate their own statistics to cite.

Hmm trying to SHOVE Romney down our throats Civitas

I would expect better from a group such as Civitas when in fact the primary season is far from over in fact and that Romney may very well NOT win the nomination which Im sure will disappoint Romney lapdogs like Tyler Crawlee (I love you Tyler but get out of the tank for Romney). Romney is a bad choice for the GOP, he is the GOP John Kerry, if he wins the nomination it could very well mean 4 more years of Obimbo in the WH and we cant afford that.

Shove

It doesn't matter who they nominate, none of them can beat President Obama. We liberal democrats are so happy with the republican candidates we feel like having a party every day.

couldn't agree more

Romney takes away the anti healthcare vote mostly. and he is soo rich i cant see too many poor idiots voting for him against their own best interest. Obama, who WAS vulnerable, is a shoe in. Land Slide probably. Think: Virginia, NC, Iowa, Florida, Ohio and maybe, just maybe Arizona (I doubt it). But the house is def in cotention and the senate is More than safe. just my lib 2 cents. I'll still float some money his way. but i doubt he needs it. YESSS WE WILL AGAIN.

Art Pope propaganda arm nccivitas is everywhere

Alarming that StarNews and WWAY are both leaning on Art Pope's propaganda arm, nccivitas.org, for more and more biased articles, polls and information.

Just making sure everyone knows who Art Pope is, good article here "State for Sale." Yes, NC has been purchased....and Wilmington is certainly not exempt.

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2011/10/10/111010fa_fact_mayer