WEATHER SUMMARY: The Cape Fear has spent most of the day with overcast conditions. However, unlike Saturday morning, southeastern North Carolina has remained dry through the afternoon. That will change heading into this evening, as a warm front approaches from the south. Shower activity will begin during the evening hours and steadily increase in overall intensity and coverage heading into early Monday morning. The Storm Prediction Center has placed all of the Cape Fear under a slight risk for severe weather. The main threat appears to be damaging winds, but an isolated tornado or two is possible during the overnight hours. Rain will stick around through midday Monday until a cold front pushes through the area. Behind the front, clearing skies will take place. It will be very breezy to start the week, with winds 15-20 mph through the day and gusts as high as 30 mph. Temperatures will fall quickly heading into Monday night, setting us up for a chilly few days across the area with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s.
Tonight: Cloudy skies with heavy rain moving in for much of the nighttime hours. Lows will only drop into the middle to upper 60s, rising overnight by a few degrees as a warm front pushes through. There is a risk for severe weather overnight, with damaging winds and a low tornado risk.
Monday: Rain will taper off towards midday, with clearing skies for the afternoon. Temperatures will top out in the lower to middle 70s before crashing during the afternoon and evening hours. Breezy conditions will persist all day, with winds of 15-20 mph and gusts up to 30 mph being possible.
Monday Night: Mostly clear skies will allow temperatures to fall into the upper 30s to around 40. Steady winds will continue through the overnight hours.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK: We are watching one area of interest in the Atlantic Ocean.
A non-tropical low pressure system over the far eastern Atlantic Ocean continues to organize. The low could potentially gain subtropical characteristics over the next few days as it moves north of the Canary Islands. The NHC is giving the disturbance a 40% shot at formation over the next 48 hours and a 40% chance of development over the next 5 days.
Elsewhere… tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 5 days.
You can view more on the tropics on the WWAY Hurricane Page.